#F1 2021 rankings drivers
The Haas drivers do not have any link outside of each other, so there’s no ranking for 2021. In the case of AlphaTauri, a ranking has been obtained for Gasly and Tsunoda based on Gasly’s previous F1 career.
*No predictions were made for AlphaTauri and Haas due to rookie drivers.
#F1 2021 rankings driver
If your favourite driver has performed worse than expected, it doesn’t necessarily mean that they’ve done a bad job (3 of the underperforming drivers are in the top 8 of driver rankings), it just means that the model expected their results relative to their teammate to be stronger given their previous F1 careers. Most of these results are probably expected given the 2021 season.
Just a reminder, the only thing that matters here in points (or finishing position), If one driver is considered to overdeliver, their teammate is considered to underdeliver, because the assessment is only made relative to their teammate, assuming 1 teammate throughout the year. In addition, Russell is now considered to be stronger than Latifi, who was previously placed higher than Russell due to having stronger race results in 2020.īefore we get to the actual rankings themselves, let’s have a look at whether a drivers performed better or worse than expected given their career as a whole: The main adjustments made during the season is that is that the Sainz/Norris pairing has been raised considerably, due to both of them having a strong season and Sainz’s poor stint at Renault counting for less of his career overall. Since those were made, the model went through some significant changes (most notably accounting for age and experience), which have generally improved the predictions (lowering expectations for Alonso, for example). Prediction vs Realityīefore the season began, I used the model to make some predictions about the 2021 season. This is subtlety different from ranking how good each driver has been, although obviously there’s a high degree of correlation between the two. A good way of thinking about the rankings is that they are measuring how impressive a driver’s results are, given their machinery. For this reason the results should not be considered to be absolutely definitive, and where appropriate I have provided some context to the ratings. On the other hand, only focusing on race results can oversimplify things, with a lack of nuance in how results were obtained. It also doesn’t suffer from recency bias, with each GP being valued the same. One big advantage is that there’s no chance of favouritism. There are some pros and cons to this approach. The predictions are then adjusted for the actual results.
In short, looks at the results of a driver each year versus their teammate, and predicts what ratio of the team’s points each driver will score. Here is a ranking of the best drivers based on a mathematical model ( more info on how the model works here). Determining who is the best F1 driver in any year is always a tricky business due to the major differences in car performances.
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